See what Mark Carney says about interest rate rises

Surely the time has come for those on variable rate and tracker rate mortgages to seriously consider switching to a low fixed rate. At this moment in time fixed rates have never been so low and of course these will start to rise as the money markets start to anticipate an imminent base rate rise. Act now before it is to late to secure a historically low fixed rate, if you don’t believe me just read below.

During a speech yesterday, Bank of England governor Mark Carney said that an interest rate rise “will likely come into sharper relief around the turn of this year”.

He added that the path would be “much more important” than the precise timing of the first rate increase, and that interest rate increases would proceed slowly and rise to a level in the medium term that is about half as high as historical averages.

Carney said that were interest rates to rise with expectations, over half of UK mortgagors would pay higher rates in a year’s time, and close to three-quarters of mortgagors in two years’ time.

He added:

“Given these considerations, the MPC will have to feel its way as it goes, monitoring a wide range of indicators and adjusting the pace and degree of Bank Rate as it learns about the effects of higher interest rates on the economy. There is, in fact, a wide distribution of possible outcomes around any expected path for Bank Rate, reflecting the inevitability that the economy will be buffeted by shocks and that monetary policy will have to adjust accordingly.

“Even though the current recovery has been the slowest since the Great Depression, taking around 1½ years longer to regain lost ground than it did following the recession of the 1930s, the signs are encouraging. Looking through the blip in the first quarter, the economy has now been growing above trend for a year and unemployment has fallen sharply over the past two. Consumer confidence is around its highest level for over a decade. Businesses investment intentions are solid. Momentum in the housing market is showing signs of returning.

“To be sure, the international risks to the growth outlook remain. The situation in Greece is fluid, and the on-going slowdown in China could prove more significant. But on balance we can expect the global economy to proceed at a solid, not spectacular, pace.”

Peter, courtesy of Financial Adviser

Posted on July 17, 2015 by Peter Marriott, in: Staff posts

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